The goal of this website is to provide an independent perspective on Financial Markets. We facilitate our users investment strategies based on Technical Analysis, a tool used to forecast the particular financial instrument performance, based on its past price history and its trading volume. We identify techniques and methods which will allow them to obtain a higher profitability. In addition, we are closely connected to lifelong learning objectives. Consequently, our job is aimed to achieve both educational and investment decision-making purposes.

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Monday, 29 March 2010

Microsoft: Despite its slow pace, its primary structure remains upwards





Microsoft seems to have moved at a slow pace for the past two months if we compare with other Nasdaq´s securities, such as Cisco or Apple. In fact, its increase during this period (8%) has been considerable lower than these two companies, which have risen a staggering 20% and 22%, respectively. 

Despite this meagre rise, its technical situation remains bullish. As most stocks, its recovery began in March 2009. However, its most relevant moment took place two months later, by the beginning of May, when prices went through the level of 21.00 $. This break-up entailed a new upwards cycle and, consequently, the former downtrend eventually finished.

Therefore, Microsoft keeps its rising structure, which is represented in the chart by a primary tendency, whose slope is moderate (an angle of 18º). It´s remarkable the fact that at the end of 2009 the speed of its recovery increased significantly. This rhythm increase allowed this security to reach the level of 31.50 dollars before it could be expected. 

By contrast, in 2010 the company owned by Bill Gates has experienced two different moments: the first one, which involved a 13% decline, and the current short-term rebound, that is the technical element which a coherent strategy should be built on.

To summarize, investors should  take into account that Microsoft remains in a rising scenario, despite the fact that this year has not already recovered its higher levels. The mission for a short-term investor consists of watching over the first supports, placed on 28.00 and 27.50 dollars.

The technical recommendation is to hold. Stop loss in 27 dollars.

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