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Friday 26 March 2010

Apple: Prudence must be the strategy after an all-time high is achieved

The recovery that Apple Computers has experienced in the past year is really impressive.

Its behaviour is exactly the opposite to what had happened in 2008, when the collapse of the Stocks Markets had undergone an accentuation by the last quarter of that year.
Nevertheless, at the beginning of 2009, a tripple-bottom was formed around the area of 82 $, which confirmed a reversed pattern and, therefore, a cycle shift.

From that moment, the second quarter of 2009 began with a staggering increase for the securities of the American multinational corporation. Apple climbed around a 60% since March to May 2009. Nevertheless, its uptrend didn´t finished after this remarkable achievement. In fact, it continued to soar for the next ten months.

During the session of March 25th 2010 the computer manufacturer reached the level of 230.97 dollars, that´s an all-time high, which accounts for a 180% rise from a year ago.

However, this stock is beginning to reflect some exhaustion. The RSI is showing negative divergences, which could involve a significant short-term decrease. Besides, the channel bottom could behave as a strong resistance, which could interrupt such a enormous appreciation.

The technical recommendation is to sell at the current prices. Stop loss in 236 dollars.

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